A guest post to Boston Biotech Watch
By Paul Caron
What if there were a useful treatment for infection with Ebola, which can produce a life-threatening and frightening hemorrhagic fever, but no easy way to get the product to those in need? A detailed search of the literature and consideration of the viral structure of the Ebola virus helped me uncover a potentially useful product that is far ahead of other proposed Ebola therapies in development that, based on animal data, is highly likely to have efficacy.
Yet there seems to be no simple way to provide this product on a compassionate basis to those in need. This post is an open request to anyone with knowledge of the situation to take action on this potential treatment before more lives are lost.
Ebola is associated with extremely high mortality, between 60% and 90%, and there is no effective treatment. Until recently, it has been possible to contain the spread of the virus and limit the total number of cases to a maximum of a few hundred per year. This year, containment has proven to be more difficult and the number of cases has swelled to over 1,200, including a number of health care workers.
There is concern that the virus could easily be spread beyond the current region encompassing Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Guinea. Indeed there is already one case where an infected traveler flew to Nigeria and later succumbed to this virus. Travel restrictions are being put in place to try to keep the virus contained, but because infected individuals may be symptom-free for up to 21 days, this may not be enough to stop its spread.
The only treatment currently available is supportive replacement of fluids, electrolytes and blood. Broad spectrum antivirals such as ribavirin have proven to be ineffective. There are a number of therapies being specifically developed for Ebola including vaccines, monoclonal antibodies, antisense molecules, and small molecule inhibitors. However, these are all in early stages of development and can’t address the immediate need for an effective therapy.
Antiviral therapies that have proven highly effective for other viral infections often target viral proteins required for replication. Ebola contains an RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, a protein that is conserved among other related viruses including Marburg, parainfluenza, mumps, rabies, and RSV. This suggests that inhibitors that target the most conserved region of RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, the nucleotide binding domain, have high potential for activity against Ebola virus.
By reviewing relevant literature, I have uncovered recent experiments with one of these inhibitors, favipiravir (T-705), which have demonstrated that this product can inhibit the virus in cell culture as well as in mouse models of Ebola infection. Papers on this were published by two research groups (Antiviral Res. 2014 May;105:17-21; Antiviral Res. 2014 Apr;104:153-5). One example of favipiravir’s effectiveness is that a one week course of treatment of infected mice was able to prevent death in 100% of the mice. This treatment was 100% effective even when started six days after the initial infection, when the mice already had symptoms.
Favipiravir is currently in development for influenza (flu) infection by FujiFilm Pharmaceuticals/Medivector. It has completed Phase II clinical trials in hundreds of patients and has recently entered multinational pivotal Phase III trials funded by the US Department of Defense. It was approved for pandemic stockpiling in Japan in May of this year.
Favipiravir has not been advanced by FujiFilm for use in Ebola patients, because it lacks the resources and expertise, according to a company executive quoted in a Bloomberg News article that ran on July 17, 2014. But it is far ahead of other specific Ebola therapies under development. Given the animal data, I believe it to be highly likely that favipiravir will have efficacy in Ebola patients, especially if it could be given relatively early in the infection cycle. Sufficient drug supply for up to 1,000 patients in the planned influenza trial is likely already available. That is in addition to any material already being stockpiled for potential influenza pandemic use in Japan. Processes to produce more should be in place.
There are other precedents for using unapproved therapies in times of clinical emergencies, especially when the situation is life-threatening and there are no other acceptable therapies. Often these situations arise in oncology, where clinicians advocate to use promising therapies that are in development in critically ill patients. A recent example in antiviral therapy involved a cancer patient with an otherwise untreatable viral infection who was able to receive investigational drug brincidofovir from Chimerix, Inc., in North Carolina. The patient soon recovered.
While treating Ebola patients in Western Africa may not be the largest commercial opportunity associated with this molecule, I find it ethically challenging to have a molecule in hand that could prevent many of these patients from dying as well dramatically limit the spread of this disease and then not even attempt to test its efficacy. Drug supply for at least some patients should already exist; it has proven to be relatively safe in humans; and animal experiments indicate that it has a large potential to work. Quickly bringing this potential therapy to patients will demonstrate to the world what medicine in the 21st century should look like.
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Paul Caron is a pharmaceutical industry consultant and founder of Integrated Profiling, LLC. www.integratedprofiling.com. He can be reached at pcaron@cbtadvisors.com.
Nice work Steve.
I have been looking at the same possibility for months.
I have followed BCRX for years.