Tag Archives: Amgen

Moderna Therapeutics as the next Genentech? Not so fast

By Steve Dickman, CEO, CBT Advisors

December 10, 2012 (slightly shorter version originally published on TechnologyReview.com)

Quick biotech PR tip: When exiting stealth mode, heralding your company as the next Genentech is one way to get above the noise. That was the approach of Moderna Therapeutics, a Cambridge, MA-based startup that announced itself last Thursday, revealing that it had raised more than $40 million and attracted an all-star set of board members and scientific advisers.

Announcing that you just might be on the way to becoming Genentech II raises the bar a wee bit. And, at first blush, Moderna looks like it might even get over that very high bar.

Central Dogma of Molecular BiologyThe concept is intriguing, to say the least. Biology’s central dogma is “DNA to RNA to protein.” Although Nobel Prizes have been won for discoveries that expand upon that central dogma (the discovery of reverse transcriptase, for example), the core approach underlies the first several generations of biotech products. Think EPO, Neupogen or the grandfather of them all, human insulin. You manipulate the DNA in the lab and then express the protein in the production facility. Then you put it in a vial and sell it to the patient, who gets an injection or an infusion. The main role for the dogma’s middleman, messenger RNA (mRNA), is a passive one: get transcribed from the DNA then, in turn, get translated into protein.

Moderna turns the dogma on its head: go straight to the RNA, do some fancy chemical tricks to it and deliver it directly into the body. This makes the patient herself into the production facility. All of us carry around cellular protein factories, known as ribosomes, and if properly activated, those can be harnessed (at a much lower cost) to produce proteins in which we have deficiencies.

One report on Moderna, published on Xconomy, quoted venture investor Noubar Afeyan of Flagship Ventures as saying that the company “builds on lots of things that have been tried before.” One of those things is gene therapy, providing genes (that is, DNA) via viruses or other delivery vehicles and trying to get cells to express those genes. Those approaches, too, tried to use the body as a manufacturing facility. Unfortunately, with some recent intriguing exceptions, most of them have failed.

Aside from this novelty, three things make Moderna so interesting:

Breadth of application

Since the mechanism is potentially so universal, proteins could be produced that address any number of diseases. The company said it will focus first on areas where protein therapeutics are already well-established: oncology supportive care, inherited genetic disorders, hemophilia and diabetes. But the company also claimed that it can also induce production of intracellular proteins that could never be given exogenously due to efficacy or immunogenicity concerns. Should this approach work, and it’s a bit of a long shot, it opens up new areas of application to the pharmaceutical industry.

Repeat dosing

Unlike many gene therapies, which could potentially be curative, in Moderna’s case the patient will need to be dosed with the mRNA over and over again. Think “recurring revenue stream.”

Intellectual property

When Genentech and Amgen were founded, neither one had a monopoly on the production of all human proteins in bacteria. When monoclonal antibodies were invented in Cesar Milstein’s laboratory in Cambridge, UK, Milstein was discouraged from patenting the concept. But in Moderna’s case, filing broad and deep intellectual property was the company’s central focus and a big reason why the company remained in stealth mode for the past two years. This means that even if other companies manage to enable the use of mRNA-based techniques in areas not yet explored by Moderna, the company could still demand royalties.

Yet another reason to pay attention to Moderna: unlike many other biotech companies, Moderna was not based on work published soon after its founding. The original publication that drew interest from Afeyan didn’t involve using patients as protein factories at all. The paper, published by company founder Derrick Rossi in 2010, involved using injected mRNA to produce cells that resemble embryonic stem cells. According to the Xconomy article, Afeyan did not want to invest in a stem cell company, which he perceived as too risky. Instead, he suggested that Rossi use the mRNA as a way to induce protein production in patients. That led to the key experiments, as yet unpublished, that were the basis of the company’s intellectual property and its initial financing. According to Moderna’s triumphant press release, the publications are supposed to come in 2013.

At the same time, there are three big questions:

Delivery

Isn’t Moderna facing a double hurdle, first in selectively getting into the right kind of cell and then in achieving the right therapeutic dose level? The first of these hurdles represents the same kind of delivery problem that has presented such an enormous challenge to RNA interference (RNAi) companies like Alnylam. For all its promise, RNAi was born amid a hail of questions expressing doubt about delivery. How to use systemic delivery to propel nucleic acid molecules with strong negative charges and potentially vulnerable to ribonucleases into the right cell types in the right organs at high enough concentrations to have a biological effect? That was the question. (The early results, as I viewed them in a cramped biochemical laboratory in Kulmbach, Germany, in 2002, looked blotchy at best.) More than ten long years later, despite some powerful efforts that cleverly take advantage of biological reality, for example, the “leakiness” of tumors, those questions have still not been completely laid to rest.

The other part of the delivery challenge has to do with what happens to the mRNA once it is inside the right kind of cells. How many cells exactly has it penetrated? What are the expression levels over time of the desired proteins on a per-cell or per-tissue basis? Will the levels in one patient be the same as in the next one? Achieving appropriate dosing without setting off alarm bells at the Food and Drug Administration will be tough.

Where are the other investors?

The only institutional investor named in the press release was Flagship Ventures. If other VC firms were involved, one would expect to find them sharing the limelight. So either Flagship decided that what it had in Moderna was so good, it did not want or need to share or other VC funds were approached and said no. It will be interesting to learn over the coming weeks which of these explanations, or which combination of them, pertains.

What’s the value in its first applications?

Let’s assume that the Moderna approach works. Suddenly EPO, Factor VIII and beta-globin can all be produced in patients deficient in these proteins simply by dosing them regularly with mRNA. But so what? There are already therapies on the market that will be doing this. In fact, some of those will be going generic and will be joined on the market by “biosimilars” that will presumably cost less than the existing (expensive) drugs. Furthermore, many of today’s most successful protein therapeutics have been modified (e.g. pegylated) to improve their half-lives. Where would be the advantage of an injection of mRNA over one of protein, especially a second-generation, long-acting protein such as Amgen’s Neulasta®?

Perhaps the advantage would come in proteins that cannot be injected as such because they elicit unwanted immune reactions from patients. But there are not too many examples that come to mind (thrombopoietin is one). That might be one reason why Moderna CEO Stéphane Bancel said that the company would be partnering the largest-market indication areas, like cancer, while retaining only rare diseases (in which intracellular protein production might make sense) for itself.

In summary, Moderna reflects a novel approach. For that, its founders and visionary investors deserve their well-earned day in the spotlight. It is especially commendable that a venture investor in the current no-whip, Splenda-only funding environment would create a good old-fashioned full-fat latte of a biotech company. Funding it exuberantly, vigorously protecting the IP and keeping the shares to yourself are all probably wise moves. But for the rest of us to see Moderna as a new Genentech, Moderna will have to publish in a peer-reviewed journal, partner with a pharmaceutical company or at least explain how it addresses basic questions like delivery and consistent dosing across tissues and patients.

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Can the Amgen Takeout of Micromet Juice German Biotech? Can Anything?

By Steve Dickman, CEO, CBT Advisors

Now that Germany has had its first billion-dollar biotech exit, it seems it would be about time for the beleaguered German biotech sector to enjoy a welcome jolt of juice. Amgen plans to lay out $1.16 billion in cash to acquire Micromet (NASDAQ: MITI) in a deal announced on January 26.

Generally, big exits create new opportunities. As a wishful example, consider the impact of the upcoming monster $10 billion IPO of Facebook, which will likely spark financially secure engineers to start new companies and multimillionaire founders to start new venture funds.

So is it time to celebrate in Germany? Not exactly. But there may be some good news for German biotech if we dig deep enough. I believe that the Micromet acquisition and other recent successes could serve as a valuable proof-of-concept for biotech products and technologies “made in Germany.” There are plenty of seedlings growing up from German universities and spinning out of existing companies. This is a good time to focus on them.

Tough trickle-down

Amgen’s big-ticket acquisition will likely not translate directly into a rash of new startups. The techniques used in inventing Micromet’s products – bispecific antibodies for systemic treatment of cancer and other severe diseases – are not easily transferred. Amgen has said that it intends to retain virtually all two hundred employees located at the Munich site. Some itchy would-be founders may eventually leave but the short-term impact will be limited.

More difficult for the German biotech scene, Micromet has not been a purely or even mostly German company for a long time. Its January, 2006, reverse merger with the failed California biotech CancerVax gave it a NASDAQ ticker symbol and a U.S. headquarters. The company raised $328 million in total of which $264 million came in PIPEs and follow-ons following the CancerVax merger. There was also approximately $60 million cash on hand at CancerVax when the companies merged.

Despite its impressive size, the Micromet exit is surprisingly no more than “a mediocre hurrah” for local VCs, one Germany-based VC investor told me. “VCs here have mixed feelings about this deal since … very few investors [who made initial investments into the company] were able to make money.”

Dollars slipping away

Why not? Clinical trials were going to be expensive. Likely acquirers were far away. Some funds faced restrictions on cross-border or public investing. Others simply did not have the money to push a company so far towards clinical proof-of-concept. The lack of local capital threatened to leave the company unable to prove the value in its innovative products. Hence, many of the gains were made by investors in public shares such as crossover funds and hedge funds.

Before I unveil my modest proposal for how to help the next crop of projects and companies in Germany, let’s look at where we are, how we got here and then I’ll return to where we can go next.

Bye-bye bubble

The world’s biotech boom of the late 1990s and early 2000s proved to be too much of a bubble for many German companies and investors. Some early companies were not built for sustainability and after some 2000-era fairy-tale financings on Frankfurt’s Neuer Markt, public biotech investors in Germany were badly burned. They have largely not returned.

The situation is not much better for venture capital funds. Otello Stampacchia, managing partner at Omega Funds, one of the institutional investors with the longest-term stake in Micromet, said that the VC shortage afflicting Europe is “particularly bad in Germany. Compared to what has happened, say, in the UK, there has been a colossal shrinkage.”

What is left in Munich, Berlin, Stuttgart, Heidelberg and other fertile biotech regions is both promising and problematic: truly world-class science; experienced entrepreneurs and employees; over eight hundred companies; and a severe lack of both venture and growth capital. Hence, in Micromet’s case, the truly creative solution of a reverse merger in 2006 and the successive financings in 2006, 2008, 2009 and 2010.

MITIgating factors

The company’s big exit, albeit on a leukemia product not yet been approved by FDA, is a beacon of light for German startups. I asked eight venture and public investors in Germany about the acquisition’s impact and the response was one of optimism tempered with caution. “The general message is positive, namely, that German biotech is capable of turning cutting-edge basic research into a full-blown company,” said one financial VC in Munich.

The capital shortage that Micromet encountered in Germany is emblematic of issues faced everywhere by therapeutics startups: the more innovative you are, the tougher it is. It takes more time than a VC fund lifetime of ten years for such technologies to reach Phase 3 or commercial status or achieve a big exit. A typical timeline is fifteen years. (Micromet was founded in 1996.)

Micromet rings the bell

Micromet rings the bell

Now that Micromet has proven the case for innovative biotech products nurtured in Germany, the burning question for investors, one of them told me, is “whether deals like the Micromet M&A creates more international VC activity in Germany.” With IPO markets shuttered and little in the way of growth capital, I suspect that the answer is likely “not anytime soon.”

But even if traditional VC does not return in significant amounts to Germany, some of the near-ripe fruit there is worth watching. Those companies include two that had the honor of presenting at the 2012 JP Morgan Healthcare Conference: NOXXON, based in Berlin, which is carrying out multiple clinical trials in a variety of high-value indications for its exciting spiegelmer technology; and Probiodrug, based in Halle, which is pursuing a unique and highly interesting approach to treating Alzheimer’s disease by attacking the underlying disease biology in a novel way. A third company, Curetis in Stuttgart, announced in November that Roche Venture Fund had made an investment alongside a Netherlands-based financial VC fund, Forbion. Curetis’ technology can rapidly identify pathogens causing hospital-acquired or severe community-acquired infections like pneumonia by bringing highly multiplexed PCR reactions into the hospital lab.

Those are just the most advanced companies. There are many more behind them and their technologies and approaches have much to offer. (Affimed in Heidelberg and Synimmune in Tübingen are just two examples in the bispecific antibody space.) Consider the technology areas in which German companies have thrived: they are mostly intricate (like Micromet’s bispecific antibody technology or Curetis’ 50-analyte PCR); they are more likely to be enabling technologies than therapeutic products (one local expert estimated that only fifteen or twenty of those eight hundred companies are working on therapeutic products that they themselves intend to develop); these enabling technologies cost $10 million to $50 million (or more) to develop; and, once mature, they will turn out to be highly valuable to big industrial companies in pharmaceuticals and related sectors like diagnostics. Stellar examples, aside from Micromet, are easy to spot:

MorphoSys: inventor of an antibody generation technology, this venture-backed startup nearly succumbed in the early 2000s to the same shortage of capital that forced Micromet out of Germany, then “went public on a hope and a prayer,” according to one investor. “Now it’s a real company,” he said, with a recent market cap of $420 million.

Direvo: an enzyme engineering business for protein therapeutics sold in 2009 for $230 million to Bayer Schering; the original technology was spun out into the “new Direvo” and is now in innovative use for industrial enzyme development; like the original Direvo, it is based in Cologne.

Jerini: a therapeutics company in Berlin acquired by Shire in 2008 for € 328 million ($521 million).

Brahms: a molecular diagnostics company acquired by Thermo Fisher in 2009 for $479 million.

MTM Laboratories: a molecular diagnostics company in Darmstadt acquired by Roche in 2011 for up to € 190 million ($269 million).

No one doubts Germany’s ability to generate attractive up-and-coming academic projects and small companies.  As one investor put it, “the start-up scene is healthy and ‘well-seeded’ by various grant systems like GO-Bio and government-affiliated institutions such as High-Tech Gründerfonds.”* The bottleneck is capital.

Pharma to the rescue?

Last time I checked, the pharmaceutical industry was shutting down internal research and scouring the world for innovation. Some pharma CEOs are saying that pharma should not invest in internal R&D at all any more. By contrast, pharmaceutical companies are beefing up their corporate VC activities. I count no fewer than twelve VC funds affiliated with pharmaceutical companies, some of which have roots in Germany (Boehringer Ingelheim) or German-speaking Europe (Novartis) and some of these have a strong interest in clinical diagnostics (Roche).

All these funds need look no further than Germany. What a fit! On top of the fertile environment for technologies, labor is relatively cheap. As I learned as a venture capitalist in a Germany-based fund, the cost of a laboratory worker in Germany is roughly half of the cost in the United States and the quality of their work is as high if not higher.

And the managers needed to bring technology platforms to proof of concept are present in larger numbers than at any time in the country’s history. They have worked by the dozens in German companies that have had solid exits – starting with Micromet and extending to Brahms, MTM Laboratories, Direvo, Jerini and MorphoSys – and strong sales – Evotec, Miltenyi and Qiagen in addition to the local pharmaceutical industry (Bayer Schering, the former Sanofi Aventis, and Boehringer Ingelheim).

The growth capital bottleneck should present no major obstacle to corporate venture investors who are both investing more and also increasingly working side-by-side in companies such as Aileron Therapeutics and Celladon Corporation, US-based companies that have attracted four corporate VCs each.

If pharma is the investor then the exit could well be integration into one or another pharma company’s own research efforts. Investing with the aim of achieving technical proof of concept in therapeutics or early commercial validation in the case of non-therapeutic platforms would alleviate the need for fifteen years of funding. The “harvest” could come much earlier. But who knows? Once investors see that their efforts are being rewarded, they might choose to let the companies carry on independently, issuing technology dividends and financial dividends alike.

What’s missing is a catalytic action on the part of those VCs, especially corporate VCs, already active in Germany together with the German government. A government co-investment growth fund of € 200 million or € 300 million, actively managed and investing in each deal alongside a minimum of two corporate or financial VCs, could make a huge difference. The seedlings are beginning to grow. Time to water them.

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Disclosure: Steve Dickman or CBT Advisors have worked recently with Curetis, Direvo and Probiodrug and previously with Evotec, Jerini, MorphoSys and NOXXON.

*GO-Bio has financed thirty-four projects in four rounds, leading to fifteen companies. High-Tech Gründerfonds, also based in Berlin, which finances high-tech startups including those in medical technology- and healthcare-related fields, has been active since 2005 and recently began investing a second fund of € 288.5 million.

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